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Showing posts from December, 2019

Investment Theme for 2020

Trade War with China First assault by Trump administration on China started in 2018 in form of tariffs on Chinese solar panels, washing machines, aluminum, steel and other products. By late 2018 & almost all of 2019 more and more products were subjected to new tariffs. China reciprocated by counter tariffs. In early October – US government blacklisted & banned 28 Chinese companies from doing business in US. Few weeks later President announced that an initial trade deal was reached after China agreed to buy more farm produce from US and allowed US financial firms access to Chinese markets. It was also announced that recent 15 % tariff will be reduced by the US government. It seems cooler heads are prevailing now and eventually there will be pressure on US government to resolve the trade war with a final deal. US wants to keep in mind the interests of workers and farmers of mid-western rust belt to reach a deal with China. Irrespective of whether a favorable deal is reached o

Scorecard for 2019

2019 was a blockbuster year for stock markets! Those long on the equity (~ 30 % gain) were handsomely rewarded. Bond market (~15 % gain) also went up. I chose to stay away from bonds and focus on equities for 2019 and it was a right strategy. Method: My profits are calculated assuming buy of 100 shares at market open of Jan 2nd, 2019 and sell at market close at 31st December, 2019. I include dividends as well for total ROI. Broad market index returned a whopping 30.4 % (SP 500 rose from 2476.96 to 3230.78). My recommendation of MGC returned 32.93 %. My 2nd recommendation of utilities index (VPU) would returned 25.45 %. My returns were very close to broad market returns. However, my risky bet in form of “MJ” saw losses.